Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 64.797486 73.360411 82.164578 91.860764 102.207851 112.889179 124.719052
2025-04-06 51.144302 63.264050 76.342196 91.369346 108.031029 125.821941 146.139580
2025-04-13 41.702117 55.450877 70.864940 89.147893 109.981614 132.748413 159.280970
2025-04-20 37.613985 53.004866 70.784355 92.382354 117.486793 145.371677 178.324576
2025-04-27 33.757654 50.298068 69.950447 94.346025 123.202766 155.709311 194.578936
2025-05-04 29.309401 46.374201 67.259445 93.763353 125.662691 162.090436 206.141165
2025-05-11 25.385016 42.708312 64.546599 92.855597 127.487645 167.536242 216.461342
2025-05-18 22.688349 40.382374 63.287664 93.533113 131.049293 174.889604 228.896685
2025-05-25 19.860377 37.597026 61.218933 93.014101 133.010009 180.239121 238.902701
2025-06-01 17.696082 35.534320 59.930468 93.343009 135.900122 186.614531 250.057296
2025-06-08 15.310997 32.906349 57.699512 92.304995 136.971626 190.713593 258.443544
2025-06-15 13.988559 31.761853 57.403288 93.716632 141.059238 198.428630 271.124955
2025-06-22 12.838592 30.806232 57.336966 95.437738 145.582780 206.754486 284.661160
2025-06-29 11.121543 28.743209 55.567774 94.782112 147.007874 211.245395 293.564584
2025-07-06 9.194470 26.075057 52.737457 92.534532 146.260250 212.960512 299.028600
2025-07-13 8.815316 26.125304 53.936112 95.837462 152.744078 223.681347 315.491581
2025-07-20 8.169623 25.607785 54.227650 97.844934 157.513643 232.258564 329.344270
2025-07-27 7.026854 23.990465 52.725469 97.249382 158.790958 236.414874 337.747197
2025-08-03 5.946480 22.331960 51.049477 96.321647 159.563281 239.889829 345.279931
2025-08-10 5.274252 21.429874 50.526115 97.014091 162.480632 246.072232 356.161262
2025-08-17 4.469350 20.096097 49.209428 96.483646 163.699635 250.058842 364.296407
2025-08-24 3.883924 19.167646 48.508778 96.819802 166.069671 255.505002 374.247236
2025-08-31 3.173716 17.774047 46.920115 95.758878 166.473693 258.385146 380.963317